Burnley vs Chelsea
This fixture pits a struggling 17th-placed Burnley against a high-flying 3rd-placed Chelsea side, suggesting a clear gulf in quality (Source 1.1). Chelsea enters the match on a high following a crucial win over Tottenham, while Burnley’s defensive struggles continue to undermine their occasional attacking output.
Recent Performance: Chelsea’s recent form is strong (W-D-W-W-L-W) in their last six, including a vital 3-0 clean sheet win over Wolves. Burnley’s form is poor (L-L-W-W-L-L) (Source 2.4).
Top Players and Result Focus: Chelsea’s attack is prolific, with 21 goals scored in 11 games (Source 1.1). Burnley’s reliance on Zian Flemming (3 goals, Source 6.1) is not enough to offset their league-worst defensive record.
Major Effect by Match: A Chelsea win is crucial to maintain pressure on the top two (Arsenal and Man City). For Burnley, a loss risks dropping them into the relegation zone depending on other results.
Attacking Performance: Chelsea averages 2.27 goals per match across all competitions, nearly double Burnley’s 1.31 goals per match average (Source 2.4). Chelsea creates the better goal threats (Source 3.1).
Goalkeeper Performance: Burnley’s defensive issues mean their keeper has conceded 22 goals (2.00 avg, Source 1.1). Chelsea’s defense is far tighter, conceding only 11 goals (1.00 avg, Source 1.1), making them structurally superior.
Both Team Point Table
Chelsea holds a commanding 10-point lead over Burnley after 11 matches played.
| Club | MP (Matches Played) | W (Wins) | D (Draws) | L (Losses) | GD (Goal Difference) | Pts (Points) |
| Chelsea F.C. | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| Burnley F.C. | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 |
Top Game-Changer Players for Burnley F.C.
Player: Zian Flemming
Position: Attacking Midfielder / Forward
Recent Performance: Flemming is the only Burnley player showing consistent threat, having scored three goals in the last three matches before the international break (Source 6.1). His ability to hit the target from distance is their primary weapon against elite teams.
Player: Lyle Foster
Position: Striker
Recent Performance: Foster has recently been dealing with injury concerns (Source 4.1) but remains a physical presence. If fit, his hold-up play is crucial for bringing Flemming and other attacking midfielders into the game.
Top Game-Changer Players for Chelsea F.C.
Player: Reece James
Position: Right-Back / Right Wing-Back (Captain)
Recent Performance: As captain, James provides critical leadership and attacking width (Source 3.3). His overlapping runs and crossing ability are a constant goal threat, and his return to fitness for the international break is a major boost ahead of this fixture (Source 3.3).
Player: Pedro Neto
Position: Winger
Recent Performance: Neto is expected to be fit for the Burnley match after a minor hamstring issue (Source 5.1). He demonstrated his goal-scoring form with a goal against Wolves before being withdrawn as a precaution, and his pace will be vital in exploiting Burnley’s high defensive line.
Burnley F.C. Injury Update
Burnley is dealing with several long-term defensive absences that weaken their structure against a top attacking side like Chelsea.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
| Zeki Amdouni | Cruciate Ligament Injury | Late April 2026 (Out for Season) |
| Jordan Beyer | Thigh Injury | Early January 2026 |
| Connor Roberts | Knee Injury | Mid December 2025 |
The loss of key defensive players like Beyer (Thigh) and Roberts (Knee) forces the manager to rely on backup personnel. The long-term absence of attacking option Zeki Amdouni (Cruciate Ligament) further limits their ability to match Chelsea’s scoring power.
Chelsea F.C. Injury Update
Chelsea is hoping for the return of key attackers, though some are being managed carefully for upcoming major fixtures.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
| Cole Palmer | Groin Problem | Target: Barcelona (Nov 25, 2025) |
| Enzo Fernandez | Bone Oedema (Knee) | To be Assessed (Missed int’l duty, Source 5.3) |
| Romeo Lavia | Thigh Injury | Mid-December 2025 |
| Pedro Neto | Hamstring (Minor) | Expected vs Burnley (Nov 22, 2025) |
While Cole Palmer is unlikely to start as Chelsea targets the Champions League fixture against Barcelona, the expected return of winger Pedro Neto is a huge boost to the starting attack. Enzo Fernandez missed international duty due to a knee issue, but his availability is a crucial late assessment for the midfield battle.
Recent Head to Head both team (Last 5 Meetings)
The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Chelsea’s favor, demonstrating their historical dominance over Burnley.
Content Focus: In 19 total meetings, Chelsea has won 12 (63.16%) while Burnley has won only 1 (5.26%) (Source 2.4). The last Premier League meeting at Turf Moor saw Chelsea run out comfortable 4-1 winners in October 2023. Chelsea’s historic average of 2.47 goals per game against Burnley underscores the predicted outcome.
| Date | Venue | Result |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Stamford Bridge | Chelsea 2 – 2 Burnley |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Turf Moor | Burnley 1 – 4 Chelsea |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Turf Moor | Burnley 0 – 4 Chelsea |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Stamford Bridge | Chelsea 1 – 1 Burnley |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Stamford Bridge | Chelsea 2 – 0 Burnley |
Statistical Snapshot - Detailed
Chelsea’s superior offensive output and defensive solidity heavily favor the “Chelsea Win” tip.
| Statistic | Burnley F.C. (Team 1) | Chelsea F.C. (Team 2) |
| League Position | 17th | 3rd |
| Goals Scored Avg. | 1.27 per game | 1.91 per game |
| Goals Conceded Avg. | 2.00 per game | 1.00 per game |
| Home Win % (PL) | 28.57% (2 wins from 7) | 42.86% (3 wins from 7) |
| Shots on Target (Avg.) | 4.5 per game | 5.9 per game |
| Goals Threats (Top Scorer) | Flemming (3 Goals) | Sterling/Jackson (Tied 5 Goals) |
Burnley F.C. Recent League Result
Burnley’s recent league results show a defensive vulnerability that is problematic against top-half teams.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result |
| Nov 8, 2025 | West Ham United | Away | L 2-3 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Arsenal | Home | L 0-2 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Away | W 3-2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Leeds United | Home | W 2-0 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Aston Villa | Away | L 1-2 |
The recent 0-2 loss to Arsenal at home is the most relevant comparison, demonstrating their difficulty in containing a fluid, attacking side. Conceding 3 goals to West Ham further emphasizes the defensive issues Chelsea is poised to exploit.
Chelsea F.C. Recent League Result
Chelsea’s league form has been excellent, securing maximum points in crucial top-of-the-table clashes.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Result |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | Home | W 3-0 |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | Away | W 1-0 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Sunderland | Home | L 1-2 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Crystal Palace | Away | W 2-0 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Brentford | Home | D 1-1 |
The back-to-back clean sheet victories over Tottenham (1-0) and Wolves (3-0) before the break provide immense momentum. This form suggests Chelsea’s defense is disciplined, and their attack is finding its clinical edge, a strong indicator for a win against a struggling Burnley side.
Tips
This analysis strongly supports the “Chelsea Win” tip.
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